Outlook (Main)

1. SPC - No watches are valid as of Fri Oct 7 11:50:01 UTC 2022

   No watches are valid as of Fri Oct 7 11:50:01 UTC 2022.

2. SPC - No MDs are in effect as of Fri Oct 7 11:50:01 UTC 2022

   No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Oct 7 11:50:01 UTC 2022.

3. SPC Oct 7, 2022 0730 UTC Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook

   SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
   

   Day 3 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0223 AM CDT Fri Oct 07 2022
   
   Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
   
   ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
   
   ...SUMMARY...
   No severe weather is expected on Sunday and Sunday night across the
   continental United States.
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   A cyclonic upper-level pattern will remain in place across much of
   the central and eastern U.S. on Sunday. An upper-level low will move
   slowly across northwestern Mexico. Scattered thunderstorms will
   again form during the day on the northeastern periphery of the
   system across parts of the Four Corners area southward into Arizona,
   New Mexico and Texas. Additional thunderstorms may also develop in
   south Florida. Instability should be too limited across the
   continental United States for a severe threat Sunday and Sunday
   night.
   
   ..Broyles.. 10/07/2022
   
   

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4. SPC Oct 7, 2022 Day 4-8 Severe Weather Outlook

   Day 4-8 Outlook
   

   Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0330 AM CDT Fri Oct 07 2022
   
   Valid 101200Z - 151200Z
   
   ...DISCUSSION...
   ...Monday Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6...
   An upper-level troughing pattern will likely develop across the
   central U.S. from Monday into Tuesday. The upper-level trough is
   forecast to move slowly eastward to near the Mississippi Valley by
   Wednesday. Modest moisture return should take place on Tuesday ahead
   of a cold front moving southeastward through the central U.S.
   Surface dewpoints could reach the 50s F ahead of much of the front
   by Tuesday afternoon. Thunderstorms that develop along and ahead of
   the front could have enough instability for an isolated severe
   threat. The area with the greatest severe potential should shift
   eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys by Wednesday. The
   current thinking is that any severe threat will remain marginal in
   most areas on Tuesday and Wednesday.
   
   ...Thursday/Day 7 and Friday/Day 8...
   The upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the
   Mississippi Valley on Thursday. Thunderstorm development will be
   possible along and ahead of a cold front during the day. A severe
   threat could develop Thursday afternoon in parts of the Ohio and
   Tennessee Valleys eastward into the southern and central
   Appalachians. Any severe threat will remain isolated in most areas.
   On Friday, the front is forecast to move eastward to the Atlantic
   Coast by midday. Thunderstorms could occur in parts of New England.
   Although instability should be weak that far north, an isolated
   severe threat will be possible during the day.
   
   

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