Blue Flower

Outlook (Main)

Storm Prediction Center
SPC Forecast Products
  1. No watches are valid as of Fri Oct 7 11:50:01 UTC 2022.
  2. No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Oct 7 11:50:01 UTC 2022.
  3. SPC 0730Z Day 3 Outlook
    Day 3 Outlook Image
    Day 3 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0223 AM CDT Fri Oct 07 2022
    
    Valid 091200Z - 101200Z
    
    ...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST...
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    No severe weather is expected on Sunday and Sunday night across the
    continental United States.
    
    ...DISCUSSION...
    A cyclonic upper-level pattern will remain in place across much of
    the central and eastern U.S. on Sunday. An upper-level low will move
    slowly across northwestern Mexico. Scattered thunderstorms will
    again form during the day on the northeastern periphery of the
    system across parts of the Four Corners area southward into Arizona,
    New Mexico and Texas. Additional thunderstorms may also develop in
    south Florida. Instability should be too limited across the
    continental United States for a severe threat Sunday and Sunday
    night.
    
    ..Broyles.. 10/07/2022
    
    
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  4. Day 4-8 Outlook
    Day 4-8 Outlook Image
    Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0330 AM CDT Fri Oct 07 2022
    
    Valid 101200Z - 151200Z
    
    ...DISCUSSION...
    ...Monday Day 4 to Wednesday/Day 6...
    An upper-level troughing pattern will likely develop across the
    central U.S. from Monday into Tuesday. The upper-level trough is
    forecast to move slowly eastward to near the Mississippi Valley by
    Wednesday. Modest moisture return should take place on Tuesday ahead
    of a cold front moving southeastward through the central U.S.
    Surface dewpoints could reach the 50s F ahead of much of the front
    by Tuesday afternoon. Thunderstorms that develop along and ahead of
    the front could have enough instability for an isolated severe
    threat. The area with the greatest severe potential should shift
    eastward into the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys by Wednesday. The
    current thinking is that any severe threat will remain marginal in
    most areas on Tuesday and Wednesday.
    
    ...Thursday/Day 7 and Friday/Day 8...
    The upper-level trough is forecast to move eastward across the
    Mississippi Valley on Thursday. Thunderstorm development will be
    possible along and ahead of a cold front during the day. A severe
    threat could develop Thursday afternoon in parts of the Ohio and
    Tennessee Valleys eastward into the southern and central
    Appalachians. Any severe threat will remain isolated in most areas.
    On Friday, the front is forecast to move eastward to the Atlantic
    Coast by midday. Thunderstorms could occur in parts of New England.
    Although instability should be weak that far north, an isolated
    severe threat will be possible during the day.
    
    
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