Blue Flower

Fire Danger

Storm Prediction Center
SPC Fire Weather Outlooks
  1. SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
    Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook Image
    Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook  
    NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
    0119 PM CST Fri Jan 28 2022
    
    Valid 291200Z - 301200Z
    
    The previous outlook remains valid with only minor adjustments for
    the latest guidance. See below for additional information.
    
    ..Lyons.. 01/28/2022
    
    .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0201 AM CST Fri Jan 28 2022/
    
    ...Synopsis...
    Broad northwesterly mid-level flow will prevail across the Plains
    states as an upper ridge across the Interior West slowly approaches
    the Rockies tomorrow/Saturday. An embedded mid-level impulse will
    traverse the Central Plains tomorrow, with surface lee-troughing
    across the Plains states ushering in dry surface air from the High
    Plains. By afternoon peak heating, widespread 15-20 percent RH is
    expected to overspread much of the central and southern Plains.
    Portions of central Nebraska will be overspread by stronger flow
    aloft given the passage of the embedded mid-level impulse,
    encouraging relatively widespread 15+ mph sustained westerly winds
    coinciding with the lower RH. When also considering the dry fuels
    across the central Plains, Elevated highlights have been introduced
    for portions of central Nebraska into extreme northern Kansas.
    
    Weaker upper support across the southern Plains should keep surface
    winds below 15 mph on a widespread basis from southeast Colorado
    into western Texas eastward to central Oklahoma. However, the 15-20
    percent RH by afternoon peak heating overspreading dry fuels may
    support at least localized fire-spread concerns. Should guidance
    depict more widespread stronger winds across the southern Plains,
    Elevated highlights may be introduced.
    
    Lastly, 15 mph sustained northwesterly surface winds overlapping
    25-35 percent RH may accompany a post-cold frontal environment
    across the Florida Peninsula tomorrow afternoon. While such
    conditions would typically warrant Elevated highlights, relatively
    high fuel moisture/low forecast ERCs suggest that fuel receptiveness
    is mediocre, precluding fire weather highlights this outlook.
    
    ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...
    
    
    Read more